What Kind Of Share Price Volatility Should You Expect For CAI International, Inc. (NYSE:CAI)?

  • In Business
  • 2019-10-10 11:26:31Z
  • By Simply Wall St.
What Kind Of Share Price Volatility Should You Expect For CAI International, Inc. (NYSE:CAI)?
What Kind Of Share Price Volatility Should You Expect For CAI International, Inc. (NYSE:CAI)?  

Anyone researching CAI International, Inc. (NYSE:CAI) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

View our latest analysis for CAI International

What we can learn from CAI's beta value

Zooming in on CAI International, we see it has a five year beta of 1.73. This is above 1, so historically its share price has been influenced by the broader volatility of the stock market. If this beta value holds true in the future, CAI International shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether CAI International is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

How does CAI's size impact its beta?

CAI International is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of US$357m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it is fairly actively traded for a company of its size. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a small company like this, when a stock this size is actively traded it is quite often more sensitive to market volatility than similar large companies.

What this means for you:

Since CAI International tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it's going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it's well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as CAI International's financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  • Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for CAI's future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for CAI's outlook.

  • Past Track Record: Has CAI been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of CAI's historicals for more clarity.

  • Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how CAI measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.


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