The past three years for Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) investors has not been profitable




  • In Business
  • 2022-12-06 00:00:00Z
  • By Simply Wall St.
 

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) shareholders, since the share price is down 35% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 25%. And over the last year the share price fell 25%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted.

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

Check out our latest analysis for Mirvac Group

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Mirvac Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 5.9% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 13% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 9.67.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Mirvac Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 3.8% in the last year, Mirvac Group shareholders lost 22% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.4% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Mirvac Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Mirvac Group you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Join A Paid User Research Session
You'll receive a US$30 Amazon Gift card for 1 hour of your time while helping us build better investing tools for the individual investors like yourself. Sign up here

COMMENTS

More Related News

The past three years for Australian Unity Office Fund (ASX:AOF) investors has not been profitable
The past three years for Australian Unity Office Fund (ASX:AOF) investors has not been profitable

It is doubtless a positive to see that the Australian Unity Office Fund ( ASX:AOF ) share price has gained some 32% in...

Oversea-Chinese Banking
Oversea-Chinese Banking's (SGX:O39) investors will be pleased with their notable 37% return over the last three years

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at...

Those who invested in Paramount Corporation Berhad (KLSE:PARAMON) five years ago are up 1.2%
Those who invested in Paramount Corporation Berhad (KLSE:PARAMON) five years ago are up 1.2%

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But if you pick...

Investors in EG Industries Berhad (KLSE:EG) have made a respectable return of 61% over the past three years
Investors in EG Industries Berhad (KLSE:EG) have made a respectable return of 61% over the past three years

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with...

Mitchell Services (ASX:MSV) investors are sitting on a loss of 32% if they invested three years ago
Mitchell Services (ASX:MSV) investors are sitting on a loss of 32% if they invested three years ago

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Mitchell Services Limited ( ASX:MSV...

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked with *

Cancel reply

Comments

Top News: Business