- By GF Value
The stock of Shutterstock (NYSE:SSTK, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $88.915 per share and the market cap of $3.2 billion, Shutterstock stock gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. GF Value for Shutterstock is shown in the chart below.
Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with SSTK. Click here to check it out.
SSTK 15-Year Financial Data
The intrinsic value of SSTK
Peter Lynch Chart of SSTK
Because Shutterstock is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 5.1% over the past five years.
Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. Shutterstock has a cash-to-debt ratio of 10.30, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks Shutterstock's financial strength as 6 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of Shutterstock over the past years:
It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Shutterstock has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $666.7 million and earnings of $1.97 a share. Its operating margin is 12.79%, which ranks better than 66% of the companies in Interactive Media industry. Overall, the profitability of Shutterstock is ranked 8 out of 10, which indicates strong profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Shutterstock over the past years:
One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Shutterstock is 5.1%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 25.7%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry.
Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, Shutterstock's return on invested capital is 16.23, and its cost of capital is 9.34. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Shutterstock is shown below:
In short, the stock of Shutterstock (NYSE:SSTK, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry. To learn more about Shutterstock stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.