NBA Top Plays: Thursday 9/17




 


Point Guard

Goran Dragic - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Dragic is on another level in the bubble. Even in poor matchups, he seems to get it done. In Miami's game one win against the Celtics, Dragic actually played fine. He shot 57% from the field and totaled 46.8 DK points over 38 minutes on the court. I expect Miami to rely heavily on Dragic. Miami's point guard is as consistent as it comes right now. His salary is high but worth it. Miami should come out firing in game two as they stared off quite poor in game one. The Miami Heat are slight underdogs at +120 with a 209.5 under/over.

Other PG Option: Kendrick Nunn - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Make sure to check the Rotoworld NBA Optimizier prior to lock! Here you wil find the top plays paired with acurate projections which will help you create your lineup!

Shooting Guard

Duncan Robinson - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Okay, so Duncan Robinson was my top play in game one. He busted. The thing is, he actually played well (when he was on the court). He just couldn't stay out of foul trouble. With two fouls in the first two minutes, he never had a chance. Robinson on the bench in game one had major ramifications. Herro and Dragic had to play excessive minutes while Marcus Smart shot lights out! With Duncan Robinson (hopefully) on the court tonight, the matchups look a lot better for Miami. Robinson is my "X-Factor" tonight. If he performs, like I know he can, Miami has a much more successful game compared to game one. The Miami Heat are slight underdogs at +120 with a 209.5 under/over.

Other SG Option: Marcus Smart - Boston Celtics (vs. Miami Heat)

Small Forward

Jimmy Butler - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Butler played 43 minutes totaling 20 actual points. He shot 7 for 14 from the field and 2 for 3 from deep. Butler needs to take control of this game. I expect him to take a leadership role tonight. The Miami Heat need to pressure the Celtics and create turnovers. This starts with Butler on the defensive end. The baskets in transition will follow. The Celtics had 11 turnovers in game one. The Heat converted those turnovers into 18 points. Being efficient for every possession is key. The team who takes better care of the ball tonight will win this game. Jimmy Butler knows this. Look for Butler to effect this game on the defensive and offensive sides of the court.

Other SF Option: Andre Iguodala - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Power Forward

Jayson Tatum - Boston Celtics (vs. Miami Heat)

Tatum could not be limited in game one. I really thought Crowder would do a better job defending Tatum but it seemed as if Tatum's speed advantage was just too much. Boston's SF/PF totaled 30 actual points, although he did take 24 shots to get there. Tatum's defensive stats caught my eye. His five total steals/blocks make him a lock on FanDuel where steals and blocks are worth more than DraftKings and Yahoo. Tatum ended up with 67 DK points and 66.3 FD points. This is a level of production you just can't ignore on a showdown slate. Invest in Tatum. Tatum is an easy lock for showdown slates or two-game slates.

Other PF Option: Jae Crowder - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Center

Bam Adebayo - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Let's see if Bam can increase his overall production tonight. Game one did not go well for him. Bam had only 43,5 DK points over 40 minutes played at a salary of $9,200. That's not good enough. His floor is high making him viable as a cash game investment but if you want to take down a GPP tournament, you're going to need a significant increase in production. Can he get there? Sure. The matchups are fine. Daniel Theis is not a threat in my eyes. I don't believe Bam will be a particularly popular play tonight at such high salaries. I think the Heat take game two so a monster game from Adebayo wouldn't surprise me. Pairing Bam with Robert Williams is a logical correlation.

Other C Option: Kelly Olynyk - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

Bargain Bin

Robert Williams - Boston Celtics (vs, Miami Heat)

Williams has been active off the bench. Remember, on a showdown slate you need to have as many elite players as possible. This is only possible if you invest in some value options. Williams' salary is exceedingly reasonable considering he's seeing minutes. Once again, pairing Bam Adebayo with Robert Williams is a logical correlation. If Bam goes off, Theis hits the bench and Williams gets extended minutes. Even if Williams doesn't hit value, the flexibility that he'll bring to your lineup construction is more important. Invest in a "Star and Scrubs" strategy for almost all NBA showdown slates for the optimal lineup.

Other Bargain Option: Duncan Robinson - Miami Heat (vs. Boston Celtics)

COMMENTS

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