Most Accurate 2016 Poll Shows Biden, Warren, Sanders Beating Trump




 

The poll that most closely predicted the outcome of the 2016 presidential election shows Joe Biden and several other Democratic candidates beating President Trump in a 2020 general-election matchup.

Biden would beat Trump by twelve points in a general election, garnering 54 percent support to Trump's 42 percent, according to the September IBD/TIPP poll. Senators Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and Kamala Harris of California also lead Trump by three to four points, close to within the margin of error.

Among voters who lean Democratic, Warren currently has 24 percent support, up from 17 percent last month, according to the poll. Biden meanwhile slipped two points from August to 28 percent among the same voters. Support for Sanders remained level at 12 percent, keeping him in third place. Harris saw her support drop this month from 11 percent to 6 percent. South Bend, Ind. mayor Pete Buttigieg and New Jersey senator Cory Booker trailed them, polling at 5 percent and 4 percent respectively.

Despite Biden's slight slip in the polls, the former vice president remains a strong front-runner in the crowded field of contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination. Trump, meanwhile, has begun to appear vulnerable. His job approval sank to 40 percent in August, its lowest level in six months.

The IBD/TIPP poll, which has correctly predicted the last four presidential elections, was the only national poll to predict Trump's 2016 victory over Hillary Clinton in a four-way matchup. Its final pre-election numbers placed him two points above Clinton.

The poll surveyed 903 respondents from August 22-30 and has a margin of error of 3.3 percent.

COMMENTS

More Related News

Trump Call
Trump Call 'Less Than Perfect,' Defense Says: Impeachment Update

(Bloomberg) -- Donald Trump's defense lawyers resume their presentation at 1 p.m. Monday after opening their arguments Saturday by saying House managers failed to prove the president should be removed from office.Here are the latest developments:Trump Call 'Less Than Perfect,' Defense Says (7:45 p.m.)Former independent counsel Robert Ray said Trump's July 25 call with Ukraine's president was "less than perfect," but that doesn't mean it's an impeachable abuse of power.It would have been better for Trump to have pursued an investigation "through proper channels," said Ray, a member of Trump's legal team."While the president certainly enjoys the power to do otherwise, there is consequence...

Fox News Anchor Chris Wallace Tears Into Conservative Pundit:
Fox News Anchor Chris Wallace Tears Into Conservative Pundit: 'Get Your Facts Straight!'

Sparks flew Monday on the Fox News set between Fox News anchor Chris Wallace and conservative contributor Katie Pavlich, with Wallace demanding his colleague get her "facts straight" after Pavlich insisted that certain witnesses had not been called in the impeachment trial.Moments before President Donald Trump's defense team began its arguments in the Senate impeachment trial, Pavlich noted during Fox's pregame coverage that while Republican senators are now weighing whether to call former National Security Adviser John Bolton following his bombshell claims, the House should have presented a more thorough case."The Senate is not the House, the House did not come with a complete case, and...

Democrats demand Bolton testify after NYT report Trump directly told him Ukraine aid tied to investigations
Democrats demand Bolton testify after NYT report Trump directly told him Ukraine aid tied to investigations

President Donald Trump told John Bolton he wanted to freeze military aid to Ukraine until it investigated his Democratic rivals, a report said.

Senate should remove Trump, majority of independent voters say in Fox News poll
Senate should remove Trump, majority of independent voters say in Fox News poll

Overall, 50% of registered voters said in a Fox News poll that President Trump should be convicted and removed in the Senate; 44% said he should not.

Des Moines Register editorial board endorses Elizabeth Warren for president
Des Moines Register editorial board endorses Elizabeth Warren for president

Warren "is not the radical some perceive her to be," the Des Moines Register editorial board wrote in its endorsement.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked with *

Cancel reply

Comments

Top News: Latin America