Eagles vs. Chiefs: 10 more stats to know for Super Bowl LVll




 

Super Bowl LVll is set and it'll have several significant storylines after the Chiefs defeated the Bengals 23-20 in the AFC Championship Game.

Legendary head coach Andy Reid will face his former team, while Jason and Travis Kelce will make the first siblings to face each other in the Super Bowl.

The Super Bowl will be a rematch of a 2021 regular season meeting in which Patrick Mahomes threw five touchdown passes and the Chiefs beat the Philadelphia Eagles 42-30.

The 2021 matchup was also a coming-out party for Jalen Hurts who threw for a career-high 387 yards and two touchdowns but Philadelphia (1-3) couldn't keep up with Kansas City's high-powered offense.

With preparation underway for both teams, here are 10 more stats to know for Super Bowl LVll. 

A.J. Brown has a full route tree

 

(Photo by Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images)

https://twitter.com/SethWalder/status/1622663779828875265A

Who needs Tryeek Hill

 

Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Hill is a top-five wide receiver and Mahomes adjusted to his loss by spreading the football around making everyone feel like the Cheetah.

Their best vs. our best

 

Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Eagles can have success in the red zone

 

Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Chiefs' defense allowed a 54.4 QBR (third-worst in the NFL) against opposing quarterbacks in the regular season and they were even worse in the red zone.

Kansas City allowed a touchdown on 67.3% of opponent trips inside the 20-yard line in the regular season (31st), and they were the only team among the bottom six to make the playoffs.

On the other end of the spectrum, Philadelphia's offense scored touchdowns on 67.8% of red zone trips, ranking third in the league.

21.5%

 


Kansas City Chiefs At Cincinnati Bengals Jan 2

Jason Kelce is an All-Pro and future Hall of Famer, but it'll be interesting to see if Philadelphia plays Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones one on one.

Jones led all defensive tackles in pass rush win rate (21.5%) when playing in that position. Jones accomplished that win rate despite being double-teamed at a league-high 69.2% rate as a defensive tackle.

0.7

 

(Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

That's the yards per coverage snap that Darius Slay and James Bradberry allowed this season, the least in the NFL according to FiveThirtyEight's receiver tracking metrics.

0.95

 

Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Are the Chiefs impossible to stop?

Including the 2023 playoffs, Kansas City's 0.95 expected points added (EPA) per drive (according to TruMedia) is the best in the NFL by a wide margin.

That number is also the best in the NFL since the 2019 Chiefs, who broke the record by the 2018 Chiefs.

Some experts believe that stopping Kansas City is impossible, but Philadelphia has the horses up front, and a secondary talented enough to give Mahomes some problems.

12.6

 

Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Eagles led the NFL with 70 sacks in the regular season and finished with a sack on 12.6 percent of opposing pass attempts according to The Athletic. Of the teams in the top 10 in sack rate, Kansas City has only played against No. 7 Seattle (a 24-10 win) and No. 8 Indianapolis (a shocking 20-17 loss).

That sack rate is the best in the league, and it'll be needed as Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL when blitzed and the best quarterback in the NFL when not blitzed based on EPA per dropback.

24th

 


Cincinnati Bengals At Kansas City Chiefs Afc Championship Jan 29 198

Jerick McKinnon could decide Sunday's outcome and the versatile running back offers the one poison Philadelphia doesn't have a remedy for.

The Eagles DVOA rank drops to 24th when facing opposing teams running back in the passing game.

-0.30

 

Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

If Kansas City is going to have any success against Jalen Hurts, it'll be on defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to ramp up the zone/blitz scheme early and often.

Hurts was blitzed at the fourth-highest rate in the league (33.9 percent) and he'll carve an opposing defense up when they're indecisive on blitzing, playing zone, or both.

The Eagles' quarterback had an EPA of -30 (32nd) when dropping back and facing a zone/blitz.

Super Bowl Extra 1

 

Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Kelce and Goedert lead the NFL in yards per route.

Super Bowl Extra 2

 

Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Story originally appeared on Eagles Wire

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